By Duncan Smith
There has been open speculation in political circles in New York that freshman Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic socialist, might soon challenge either of the state’s two senators, Charles Schumer or Kirsten Gillibrand.
But new polling suggests that if AOC is seriously considering a run against either Democrat, she should think again.
Though she has brought a much more ‘progressive’ (a more accurate description is “Marxist”) agenda to Congress and the Democrat Party, New York’s Dem voters aren’t clamoring for her vision.
New polling from Zogby finds that, according to likely Democrat primary voters, AOC would get blown out in a race against either Schumer or Gillibrand.
Ocasio-Cortez would lose a prospective contest against Schumer, the current Senate minority leader, by more than 2-to-1, 54% to 21%.
According to Zogby’s hypothetical matchup, Schumer defeated Ocasio-Cortez in every region of New York and in all gender and ideological groups. Most importantly, Schumer also handily defeated Ocasio-Cortez among swing voters. However, Ocasio-Cortez bested Schumer in younger and single voters.
AOC also gets blown out by Gillibrand, though by a smaller margin, 43% to 26%.
Still, Zogby noted that a primary contest between Gillibrand and Ocasio-Cortez could be “much closer.”
“The fact that Ocasio-Cortez is neck and neck with Gillibrand in NYC, and beating the former presidential candidate among younger voters, should be worrisome to the senator since many votes on a statewide level come from downstate, and Ocasio-Cortez has the name recognition to energize younger voters. Gillibrand should take note,” said pollster John Zogby.
We’re not sure how he gets “neck-and-neck” out of a 43-26% split, but the polling firm noted further that AOC did do well with a demographic that could help her mount a significant challenge in the not-so-distant future.
“Although Senators Schumer and Gillibrand are winning against Ocasio-Cortez in hypothetical Democratic primaries, the freshman congresswomen is performing well among younger voters and urban voters,” the poll noted.
“If she were to energize both groups and benefit from a low turnout, she could shock the world again like she did when she ousted longtime Congressman Joseph Crowley in 2018,” it adds.
“Also, women were the most uncertain of the surveyed groups, which could give ‘AOC’ further leverage against heavyweights like Schumer and Gillibrand.”