By Jon Dougherty
(NationalSentinel) A Republican strategist and former 2016 presidential campaign spokesman for Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) laid out three things that the GOP must do to ensure President Donald Trump is reelected next year, including some surprises — such as, he believes California a sign of things to come for the GOP without a plan to address it.
In an op-ed forÂ The Hill, RonÂ Nehring writes that while “California has become a running joke” for his party, it’s really “the canary in the coal mine, not an outlier.”
That is, the state is a massive warning sign for the Republican Party.
“While there is plenty of legitimate ammo for such jokes coming from the Golden State, usually from San Francisco, politically, the joke is on them,” he says.
“California is not some oddball left coast anachronism running counter to some broad national conservative trend. California is an indicator of what is coming. When Reagan was elected president in 1980, California was 21 percent Latino â€” now itâ€™s over 40 percent,” Nehring writes.
“Meanwhile, the Asian population has tripled. California is electing more Democrats because it is becoming more Latino, urban and coastal in terms of its center of gravity.”
Nationwide, the country is becoming more Latino, more urban and more Latino, putting states like new Mexico “out of range” and one-time GOP strongholds like Arizona and Texas “in play.”
A Democrat — Kyrsten Sinema — won former GOP Sen. Jeff Flake’s seat in 2018, while the late Sen. John McCain’s seat is currently held by Martha McSally, who was appointed by the state’s GOP governor.
In Texas, as the state’s Latino population rises and its tech boom attracts Democrat voters in cities like Austin, Houston, and San Antonio — all led by Democrat mayors — the GOP is being forced to spend millions to retain or win back seats.
“There are plenty of soothing things Republicans are telling each other to explain away these challenges,” Nehring writes.
“Most often cited appears to be shift in the Democratic center of gravity from the left to the far left. While this may be true, it did not appear to stop Democrats from taking back the House, picking up governorships in battleground states like Michigan and Wisconsin, or Senate seats in target states Arizona and Nevada,” he added.
“Spin is not analysis, and self-delusion is not strategy.”
Meanwhile, it is a waste of time, resources, and energy to engage with far-Left lawmakers like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ilhan Omar because in the great scheme of things, they mean virtually nothing in terms of national and international policies Republicans back.
Also, Nehring said, addressing former special counsel Robert Mueller’s tainted, inaccurate report is equally time-consuming and pointless; the investigation is over, his findings are known, and there are more important things for Republicans to focus on.
Such as keeping suburban voters in their corner while ensuring that the economy remains healthy.
“With much of rural America firmly Republican and Democrats equally solid in the cities, Americaâ€™s suburbs are the political battlegrounds. Recent pollingÂ shows Democrats making significant gains in suburban districts. Texas may be won or lost based on what happens in the communities outside Dallas,” writes Nehring.
“Similarly, the suburbs outside Atlanta, Cleveland, Phoenix and Philadelphia could determine in which electoral college column their respective states fall in November 2020. A plan is needed to reverse Republican setbacks in suburban communities.”
Ronald Reagan defeated one-termer Jimmy Carter in 1980 because of high unemployment, Nehring notes. But George H. W. Bush lost to Bill Clinton in 1992 when the economy slowed, despite having a 91 percent approval rating a year earlier following the successful prosecution of the first Gulf War.
Then, GOP-lite nominee McCain lost to Barack Obama in 2008 when the financial crisis was first beginning to hit.
“As the global economy slows and the direction of the U.S. economy is less certain, Republicans must write a new playbook for how to hold the White House in a challenging economic climate â€” something that has not happened in four decades,” Nehring said.
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