After years of escalating violence among rival drug and human smuggling cartels, a new analysis of conditions in Mexico says the countryâ€™s government is in a â€œfragileâ€ state and is on the verge of failing, which would have major security implications for the United States.
â€œMexico is a fragile state, and without action, faces the risk of becoming a failing, or worse, a failed state,â€ writes Alexander Grinberg, a U.S. Army officer and expert in defense policy and strategy.
Noting that the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development defines a fragile state as one that is â€œunable or unwilling to perform the functions necessary for poverty reduction, the promotion of development, protection of the population and the observance of human rights,â€ he goes onto point out that a decade ago U.S. Joint Forces Command expressed concern that the Mexican government had the potential to collapse completely.
Grinberg also noted that just last year, because of escalating cartel-related violence, the U.S. State Department was compelled to issue travel warnings for five of Mexicoâ€™s 32 states.
â€œMany other states are still considered dangerous, and the U.S. State Department has advised American tourists caution if not total reconsideration,â€ he writes, adding that the Mexican government has simply been unable to control the cartels or curb the violence and internecine warfare.
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