By Jon Dougherty, editor-in-chief
There are many nuances to politics and one of them is to convince your party’s supporters that nothing is ever bad, no matter how bad things might seem.
Take the just-ended government shutdown. Both sides — Democrats and Republicans — are attempting to spin it as an overall positive for their party.
But the reality is, one side is right and one side, of course, is wrong. But which is which?
As The Hill reports, Democratic pollsterÂ NancyÂ Zdunkewicz said Monday that Â House SpeakerÂ Nancy PelosiÂ (D-Calif.) is one of just a few national figures to have seen favorability ratings climb since the November midterms.
“One thing that has been interesting is to watch how Nancy Pelosi’s favorability numbers have changed,”Â Zdunkewicz, managing editor at Democracy Corps, told Hill.TV’s Jamal Simmons on “What America’s Thinking.”
“Her favorability numbers were the only ones that improved since the election,” she added.
“Now she’s even more so in front of cameras, and part of the discussion about what’s going on the country,” she said, intimating that Pelosi’s ratings are just going to continue to climb.
The Hill noted further:
An average of three pollsÂ compiled by CNNÂ on Sunday found that during the shutdown, Pelosi’s net favorability rose three points amid the shutdown, while Trump’s decreased.Â
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Is that true? Is what Zdunkewicz and the anti-Trump CNN claiming actually true?
Not according to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. As The Daily Wire reports, that survey says that Pelosi’s favorability rating tanked over the past five weeks as she and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) steadfastly resisted POTUS Donald Trump’s efforts to secure money for his long-promised border wall.
Emily Zanotti writes:
In a strange twist of fate that must befuddle those who cheered Pelosi’s hard line on the subject of the shutdown, refusing to budge even an inch on the border wall in order to force the president to re-open the government without concessions on the part of Democrats, Pelosi’s favorables tanked during her standoff.
National Journal’s Josh Kraushaar noted the drop as well in a tweet:
More NBC/WSJ poll: Pelosi’s negatives shot up during government shutdown more than any pol // now the most unpopular politician tested in the survey. pic.twitter.com/pSMBFydwx7
— Josh Kraushaar (@HotlineJosh) January 27, 2019
In the previous poll, Pelosi had nearly a 50% approval rating. In the most recent poll, that number tanked nearly 20 points, leaving her competing for “least liked politician” with the president, whose numbers moved only twelve points.
Regarding the president, though, Rasmussen notes that his overall approval rating hasn’t changed much at all over the previous five weeks of shutdown, as we reported earlier this morning:
First things first. The same NBC/WSJ survey has the presidentâ€™s approval rating at a healthy 43 percent; Rasmussen has the president at 45 percentÂ approval. The presidentâ€™s support, as acknowledged by the NBC/WSJ survey and in Rasmussenâ€™s daily polling numbers,Â has remained strongÂ especially among his core supporters.
Besides that, a closer look at Rasmussenâ€™s survey results over the past two years regarding the overall attitude among Americans about the direction of the country reveals that itÂ changedÂ â€” 180 degrees â€” from the moment Donald Trump won the 2016 election.
Republican and Democratic operatives are both trying to convince their supporters that their party and their political leaders are winning the battle for the hearts and minds of Americans during the recent shutdown. But one side has hard data — the GOP — while the other side does not.
After all, Rasmussen was spot-on in predicting the president’s remarkable victory; CNN, alternately, said Hillary would win resoundingly.
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