(TNS) Red Wave: The Democrats’ anticipated ‘blue wave’ has not materialized — at least not yet — in early voting in key states, as Republicans have taken the lead in several races.

As Breitbart News reports, Republicans are leading in Arizona, Florida, Indiana, Montana, Tennessee, and Texas, according to NBC News.

The Real Clear Politics average of polls are showing Republicans enjoying comfortable leads in three of those states: Tennessee (+6.5); North Dakota (+10.6); and Texas (+7.0). North Dakota would be a GOP pickup, as that is Dem Sen. Heidi Heitkamp’s seat.

Breitbart reported further:

In the remaining three states — Indiana, Florida, and Montana — the incumbent Democrats all enjoy two to three point leads.

But as we saw during the 2016 presidential election, the polls might be missing something — like an unexpected surge of Republican enthusiasm, which would be picked up in early voting statistics such as these. Remember, polls are weighted based on the pollsters guess of what the electorate will look like.

“The latest data suggests robust enthusiasm among early Republican voters that could put a dent in Democratic hopes for a ‘blue wave’ in next month’s midterm elections,” NBC reported after analyzing this data from TargetSmart.

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